Big Tech earnings meet the Fed: what investors are watching this week

Analysis
July 29, 2026

Four of the world's most valuable companies—Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazon—report earnings within 48 hours of each other this week, alongside the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision. Together, these events could shape market sentiment heading into August.

The focus is no longer simply whether companies beat earnings expectations. Investors are increasingly looking for evidence that record AI investment is translating into sustainable revenue growth, profitability, and long-term returns.

The schedule

Wednesday, July 29

Microsoft (after US market close) Microsoft reports fiscal Q4 2026 results. Wall Street expects revenue of around $87.6 billion, with Azure remaining the key growth driver. Investors will be watching whether cloud growth continues to justify the company's accelerating AI infrastructure investment.

Meta (after US market close) Meta reports second-quarter results after raising its full-year capital expenditure guidance earlier this year. While advertising remains the company's primary earnings engine, investors are increasingly focused on whether AI investments continue to support revenue growth and operating margins.

Federal Reserve (20:00 CEST rate decision | 20:30 CEST press conference) The Federal Reserve concludes its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday. While markets broadly expect rates to remain unchanged, investors will closely analyse the Fed's statement and the Chair's press conference for signals about the path of monetary policy during the remainder of the year.

Thursday, July 30

Apple (after US market close) Apple reports fiscal third-quarter results. Investors will focus on iPhone demand, Services growth, margins, and management's outlook for AI-related products and services.

Amazon (after US market close) Amazon reports second-quarter earnings, with AWS expected to remain the primary driver of profitability. Investors will also be watching operating margins and whether continued investment in AI infrastructure supports future growth.

Why this week matters

Last week's earnings from Alphabet reinforced a growing theme across the technology sector: strong revenue growth alone is no longer enough.

Markets are increasingly scrutinising whether unprecedented AI-related capital expenditure is producing measurable returns. Across the largest US technology companies, investment in AI infrastructure continues to reach record levels, placing greater emphasis on management guidance, capital allocation, and future profitability rather than headline earnings alone.

As a result, this week's earnings are likely to be judged not only on whether companies beat consensus estimates, but on how convincingly management teams explain the returns they expect from continued AI investment.

What to watch

Microsoft

  • Azure cloud growth
  • AI infrastructure investment
  • Management commentary on AI monetisation

Meta

  • Advertising revenue
  • AI-driven engagement and monetisation
  • Capital expenditure outlook

Apple

  • iPhone demand
  • Services growth
  • AI product strategy and guidance

Amazon

  • AWS growth
  • Operating margins
  • AI investment and profitability

Market outlook

With four mega-cap technology earnings reports arriving within two days of each other—and a Federal Reserve policy decision in between—markets could become increasingly sensitive to both company guidance and macroeconomic signals.

The outcome of this week's events is likely to influence sentiment not only toward individual companies, but also toward the broader technology sector and major US equity indices.

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